Mining & construction equipment · World No.1 in autonomous haulage

Komatsu

Komatsu is the world's No.2 in excavators and mining gear, but its real moat is autonomous ultra-class haulage, where it has led since commercializing in 2008 — an 18-year head start now at 1,016 cumulative trucks. The year ended March 2026 was about defense, not growth: with volumes falling, price increases held revenue at +0.7% but operating income still dropped 13.7%, and resource-cycle strength in Latin America (+13.7%) and Oceania barely offset the collapse in Asian general construction. The question for this node now is how much FY2027 U.S. tariffs (guidance: OP -10.5%) erode that pricing power, and how much the mining-automation and aftermarket moat cushions the downside.

Business categories Heavy Vehicles & Off-Highway Equipment · Automotive & Mobility · primary Heavy Machinery & Industrial Equipment · Industrial Infrastructure & Heavy Industry

6301.T Updated Sep 23, 2026 5 AI consumers· 4 recurring

Per the valuechain.wiki graph, Komatsu is directly linked to 4 companies (2 supply, 2 revenue relationships) and reaches 7 companies within two hops; the links are backed by 11 dated sources, 1 of them primary filings (as of 2026-09-23).

Annual return · 2026-09-04'21+0.5%'22+17.4%'23+40.1%'24+16.4%'25+30.5%YTD+28.3%
Money in ▸Barrick (네바다 골드마인스)●Rio Tinto●Vale●North America, Latin America & Oceania resource markets (construction & mining equipment)●Anglo American◐Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.◐Vulcan Materials Company◐
Komatsu¥4,132.8B
▸ Money outOuster●Cummins●

Financials & Segments

  • Total revenue · ¥4,132.8B (year ended March 2026, +0.7%)
  • Segments · Construction, Mining & Utility Equipment · Industrial Machinery & Others · Retail Finance

Revenue from

  • Barrick (네바다 골드마인스) High confidence
    AHS customer where Komatsu's 1,000th ultra-class autonomous truck (930E-5AT, 290t) was commissioned (Apr 2026).
    Confirms EN Komatsu Published Apr 28, 2026: Komatsu Consolidated Business Results for the Fiscal Year Ended March 31, 2026 (U.S. GAAP)
    Confirms KO Vehiclenews Published Apr 21, 2026: Komatsu commissions 1,000th ultra-class autonomous haul truck — an industry first
    Confirms EN Komatsu Published Apr 21, 2026: Komatsu first OEM to commission 1,000 ultra-class autonomous haul trucks
  • Rio Tinto High confidence
    FrontRunner AHS and 830E/930E truck customer at Pilbara iron mines (Brockman 4, West Angelas).
    Confirms EN Mining Technology Published Jan 1, 2023: Autonomous haulage systems: leading manufacturers
  • Vale High confidence
    830E/930E truck customer at Carajas; 2024 Dual Fuel (up to 70% ethanol) retrofit program with Cummins.
    Confirms EN Komatsu Published Aug 27, 2024: Vale, Komatsu and Cummins launch Dual Fuel Program
  • North America, Latin America & Oceania resource markets (construction & mining equipment) High confidence
    In construction & mining — 92% of sales — the resource cycle is what is holding the company up: copper, iron-ore and gold prices lifted Latin American (+13.7%) and Oceania mining demand, offsetting the collapse in Asian (-33%) and Japanese (-4.6%) general construction as infrastructure softened. The segment's +0.2% came from price increases, not volume, so segment profit still fell 18% on cost and volume — a classic late-cycle signature. What threatens that pricing power is the FY2027 U.S. tariff hit (guidance: operating profit -10.5%).
    Mentions EN Citi / analyst consensus Published May 10, 2026: Komatsu (6301) analysts — Citi target ¥4,500 (Neutral); consensus Neutral
    Confirms EN Komatsu Published Apr 28, 2026: Komatsu Consolidated Business Results for the Fiscal Year Ended March 31, 2026 (U.S. GAAP)
  • Anglo American Medium confidence
    AHS customer at Los Bronces copper mine, Chile (~62 930E trucks planned).
    Confirms EN Komatsu Published Jan 1, 2022: Komatsu to deploy AHS at Los Bronces copper mine
  • Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. Medium confidence
    Komatsu is an aggregates-business partner providing Martin Marietta with mobile quarry equipment and lower-carbon technology, and Martin Marietta directly confirms the partnership but does not disclose spending.
    Confirms EN Martin Marietta Materials Published May 16, 2026: Martin Marietta 2025 Sustainability Report
  • Vulcan Materials Company Medium confidence
    Komatsu supplies a WA485-11 wheel loader used for aggregate handling at Vulcan's Palmdale, California, operation, where a Vulcan operator describes its on-site use and efficiency benefits, while the purchase amount remains undisclosed.
    Confirms EN Komatsu North America Published Apr 14, 2025: WA485-11 wheel loader in action: power, comfort and efficiency at Vulcan Materials

Pays to

  • Ouster High confidence
    Procures lidar for autonomous mining equipment from Ouster (multimillion-dollar agreement, REV7).
    Confirms EN Business Wire Published May 8, 2025: Ouster to Supply Lidar Sensors for Komatsu's Autonomous Offerings
    Confirms EN Mining.com Published May 8, 2025: Ouster to supply lidar sensors for Komatsu's autonomous offerings
  • Cummins High confidence
    Primary engine supplier for ultra-class mining trucks (830E/930E); 2024 three-way ethanol-diesel Dual Fuel retrofit program with Vale.
    Confirms EN Komatsu Published Aug 27, 2024: Vale, Komatsu and Cummins launch Dual Fuel Program

Investments

  • M&A (Malwa Forest, SRC reman, Joy Global) High confidence
    Komatsu's M&A deliberately builds a mining-and-aftermarket moat that is less exposed to the new-equipment volume cycle: the 2017 ~$3.7B Joy Global deal internalized underground and ultra-class equipment, and 2026 bolt-ons — SRC of Lexington's remanufacturing assets and forestry maker Malwa Forest — extend into circular-economy and parts-reman revenue. The weaker new-machine sales get, the more reman, parts and service defend the margin.
    Confirms EN Komatsu Published Apr 28, 2026: Komatsu Consolidated Business Results for the Fiscal Year Ended March 31, 2026 (U.S. GAAP)

Value-chain ripple (2 tiers)

Following node-to-node links up to 2 tiers; each firm is shown once, at its nearest tier.

CompanyChain'21'22'23'24'25YTD
Union Pacific Corporationlead2+23.3-15.9+21.6-5.1+3.9+22.1
Vulcan Materials Companylead1+41.1-14.9+30.8+14.1+11.7-7.4
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.lead1+56.1-22.7+48.6+4.1+21.3-17
Komatsunode+0.5+17.4+40.1+16.4+30.5+28.3
Ousterbenef1-61.5-83.4-11.1+59.3+77.1+68.3
Cumminsbenef1-1.7+14.1+1.7+48.9+49.4+11
United Rentalsbenef2+43.3+7+63.6+24+15.9+31.3
Fabrinetbenef2+52.7+8.2+48.4+15.5+107.1-10.5

YTD as of 2026-09-04 · source: Yahoo Finance

Komatsu operates across Nikkei 225, Mining & construction equipment, No.1 in autonomous trucks. It stayed steadily positive in recent years and is +28.3% in 2026. The stock (+28.3%) and its supply side (avg +39.7%) are moving in step. Among connected nodes the furthest ahead is Ouster (+68.3%) and the furthest behind is Cummins (+11%). If chain logic explains the gap, the laggard is the next propagation candidate; if not, the link itself deserves a second look. tariffs (guidance: OP -10.5%) erode that pricing power, and how much the mining-automation and aftermarket moat cushions the downside.

Analysis generated from returns as of 2026-09-04

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