# Ibiden (4062.T)
> 고성능 FC-BGA(플립칩) 패키지 기판 세계 1위권(점유율 ~35%). 1999년 인텔을 첫 고객으로 ABF 기판을 양산했고, 현재 엔비디아 AI 가속기용 기판을 주도 공급. AI 가속기는 기판 층수가 8~18층으로 급증해 병목. ¥5,000억(약 4.7조원)을 엔비디아용 증설에 투자.
Canonical: https://valuechain.wiki/ibiden · Updated: 2026-07-12T08:24:11.655949+00:00 · Source: ValueChain.wiki (refined facts, cited)

**인용용 요약**: 밸류체인 그래프 기준 Ibiden의 직접 연결 기업은 4곳(관계 기준 공급 1·매출 3)이고, 사슬을 2차까지 넓히면 40곳에 닿는다. 링크의 근거 출처는 6건이며 그중 1차공시가 2건이다 (valuechain.wiki, 2026-07-12 기준).

## Financials & segments
- 총매출: FY2026(2026.3期) 매출 4,162억엔(+12.7%)·영업익 620억엔(+30.3%) — 전자(FC-BGA) +23.4% 견인
- 고객 집중도: 인텔(1999~)·엔비디아·AMD. AI 기판 병목.
- 사업부문: IC 패키지 기판 (FC-BGA)(세계 ~35% (1위권)), 세라믹·기타

## Annual stock return (as of 2026-07-10)
- 2021: +30.4%
- 2022: -19.6%
- 2023: +51.6%
- 2024: -38.6%
- 2025: +261%
- 2026 YTD: +147.1%

## Value-chain annual returns (top→bottom: demand → node → supply; YTD as of 2026-07-10)
| Company | Chain | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | YTD |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Nebius | lead3 | · | · | · | · | +202.2% | +162.4% |
| Datadog | lead3 | +80.9% | -58.7% | +65.1% | +17.7% | -4.8% | +89.4% |
| 팔로알토 네트웍스 | lead3 | +56.7% | -24.8% | +111.3% | +23.4% | +1.2% | +76.9% |
| CrowdStrike | lead3 | -3.3% | -48.6% | +142.5% | +34% | +37% | +59.7% |
| Illumina | lead3 | +2.8% | -46.9% | -31.1% | -1.3% | -1.8% | +45% |
| 플래닛랩스 | lead3 | · | -29.3% | -43.2% | +63.6% | +388.1% | +32.1% |
| Starbucks Corp | lead3 | +11.1% | -13.2% | -1.2% | -2.5% | -5.3% | +27.4% |
| CoreWeave | lead3 | · | · | · | · | · | +24.1% |
| 존슨 컨트롤스 | lead3 | +77.4% | -19.3% | -7.6% | +39.8% | +53% | +20% |
| Snowflake | lead3 | +20.4% | -57.6% | +38.6% | -22.4% | +42.1% | +19.2% |
| Apple | lead3 | +34.6% | -26.4% | +49% | +30.7% | +9.1% | +16.2% |
| Airbnb Inc | lead3 | · | -48.6% | +59.2% | -3.5% | +3.3% | +9.5% |
| Lockheed Martin | lead3 | +3.2% | +40.5% | -4.3% | +10% | +2.5% | +9.5% |
| RTX | lead3 | +23.3% | +20% | -14.4% | +40.8% | +61.4% | +7.6% |
| Costco Wholesale | lead3 | +51.8% | -19% | +49% | +39.6% | -5.4% | +6.6% |
| Procter & Gamble | lead3 | +20.5% | -5% | -0.9% | +17.3% | -12.3% | +4.1% |
| Walmart Inc | lead3 | +2% | -0.5% | +12.9% | +74% | +24.5% | +2.6% |
| 마쓰다 | lead3 | +18.8% | +22.8% | +81.1% | -39% | +17.3% | -3.2% |
| Schrödinger | lead3 | -56% | -46.3% | +91.5% | -46.1% | -7.3% | -7.8% |
| MercadoLibre | lead3 | -19.5% | -37.2% | +85.7% | +8.2% | +18.5% | -8% |
| Uber | lead3 | -17.8% | -41% | +149% | -2% | +35.5% | -8.8% |
| McDonald's | lead3 | +27.8% | +0.5% | +15.1% | +0.1% | +7.9% | -9% |
| LVMH | lead3 | +46.6% | +12.7% | -1.8% | -7.3% | -20.4% | -9% |
| Recursion Pharmaceuticals | lead3 | · | -55% | +27.9% | -31.4% | -39.5% | -13% |
| Disney | lead3 | -14.5% | -43.9% | +4.3% | +24.4% | +3.3% | -15.3% |
| 메이퇀 | lead3 | -38.1% | -20.7% | -64.2% | +137.6% | -34.6% | -19% |
| Coupang | lead3 | · | -49.9% | +10.1% | +35.8% | +7.3% | -20.3% |
| Netflix | lead3 | +11.4% | -51.1% | +65.1% | +83.1% | +5.2% | -21.7% |
| Shopify | lead3 | +21.7% | -74.8% | +124.4% | +36.5% | +51.4% | -23.9% |
| Palantir | lead3 | -22.7% | -64.7% | +167.4% | +340.5% | +135% | -28.7% |
| ServiceNow | lead3 | +17.9% | -40.2% | +82% | +50.1% | -27.7% | -29.7% |
| 킹소프트 오피스 | lead3 | -41.3% | +16% | -23.7% | +47.1% | +7.6% | -30.2% |
| Dell | lead2 | +51.2% | -26.6% | +95.9% | +53% | +11.2% | +248.1% |
| Lenovo | lead2 | -4.6% | -20.9% | +36.2% | +18.2% | -0.6% | +175.7% |
| HPE | lead2 | +37.4% | +4.5% | +9.7% | +29.1% | +15.5% | +104% |
| TeraWulf | lead2 | +77.1% | -95.5% | +258.2% | +135.8% | +103% | +91.2% |
| Aurora Innovation | lead2 | · | -89.3% | +261.2% | +44.2% | -39% | +66.1% |
| Mercury Systems | lead2 | -37.5% | -18.7% | -18.3% | +14.8% | +73.8% | +47.9% |
| 에이수스(ASUS) | lead2 | +35.5% | -12.9% | +72% | +41.1% | -14.1% | +46.7% |
| Wiwynn | lead2 | +24.7% | -22.3% | +206.4% | +3.5% | +64.4% | +45.1% |
| 기가바이트 | lead2 | +82.3% | -3.4% | +173.2% | -15.9% | -4.7% | +44.4% |
| Cloudflare | lead2 | +73% | -65.6% | +84.2% | +29.3% | +83.1% | +36.1% |
| Quanta | lead2 | +22.2% | -12.8% | +254.5% | +12.7% | +8.9% | +33.4% |
| SK텔레콤 | lead2 | +7.9% | -12% | +15.8% | +15.5% | +37.5% | +23.4% |
| Celestica | lead2 | +37.9% | +1.3% | +159.8% | +215.2% | +220.3% | +21.7% |
| 지리자동차 | lead2 | -40.8% | -22.9% | -40.3% | +98.5% | +14.5% | +18.9% |
| 위스트론 | lead2 | +7.9% | +9.7% | +272.7% | -1.6% | +22.7% | +14.8% |
| 알파벳 (구글) | lead2 | +65.3% | -39.1% | +58.3% | +36% | +66% | +14.3% |
| Foxconn | lead2 | -5.1% | +2.8% | +7.8% | +80.1% | +26.9% | +10.9% |
| IREN | lead2 | · | -92.3% | +472% | +37.3% | +284.6% | +8.9% |
| 아마존 | lead2 | +2.4% | -49.6% | +80.9% | +44.4% | +5.2% | +6.3% |
| 메타 플랫폼스 | lead2 | +23.1% | -64.2% | +194.1% | +66% | +13.1% | +1.6% |
| Tempus AI | lead2 | · | · | · | · | +74.9% | -1.4% |
| IBM | lead2 | +16.7% | +10.6% | +21.8% | +39.3% | +38.2% | -1.6% |
| Super Micro | lead2 | +38.8% | +86.8% | +246.2% | +7.2% | -4% | -3.3% |
| 제너럴 모터스 | lead2 | +40.8% | -42.4% | +7.9% | +49.8% | +54.2% | -3.8% |
| IonQ | lead2 | · | -79.3% | +259.1% | +237.1% | +7.4% | -4.5% |
| 현대차 | lead2 | -16.7% | -4.7% | +16.2% | +12.3% | +158.8% | -7.8% |
| Tesla | lead2 | +49.8% | -65% | +101.7% | +62.5% | +11.4% | -9.3% |
| Toyota Motor Corporation | lead2 | +58.1% | -13.4% | +63% | +1.8% | +21.8% | -18.2% |
| 마이크로소프트 | lead2 | +52.5% | -28% | +58.2% | +12.9% | +15.6% | -20% |
| 알리바바 | lead2 | -49% | -25.8% | -10.8% | +11.8% | +75.8% | -22.7% |
| 텐센트 | lead2 | -28.6% | -14.2% | -28.7% | +49.8% | +52.1% | -23.2% |
| 바이두 | lead2 | · | -8.2% | -23.4% | -13.5% | +74.2% | -24.5% |
| Rigetti Computing | lead2 | · | -92.9% | +35.1% | +1449.2% | +45.2% | -25.3% |
| Oracle | lead2 | +36.9% | -4.6% | +30.9% | +60% | +18.1% | -27.4% |
| Kratos | lead2 | -29.3% | -46.8% | +96.6% | +30% | +187.8% | -36.5% |
| Pony.ai | lead2 | · | · | · | · | +1% | -54.6% |
| Intel | lead1 | +6.1% | -46.6% | +94.6% | -59.6% | +84% | +197.7% |
| AMD | lead1 | +56.9% | -55% | +127.6% | -18.1% | +77.3% | +160.5% |
| NVIDIA | lead1 | +125.5% | -50.3% | +239% | +171.2% | +38.9% | +13.3% |
| Ibiden | node | +30.4% | -19.6% | +51.6% | -38.6% | +261% | +147.1% |
| Ajinomoto | benef1 | +31% | +36% | +44.5% | +4% | +14.1% | +63.7% |

FC-BGA 패키지 기판(ABF 서브스트레이트) 기업. 2025년 +261%, 2026년 +147.1%로 폭발했다. 본주(+147.1%)가 수요단(평균 +123%)과 공급단(평균 +63.7%)을 모두 앞선다. 사슬보다 먼저 달린 만큼, 수요단 숫자가 따라오지 못하면 되돌림이 먼저 오는 자리다. 연결 노드 중 가장 앞선 곳은 인텔(+205%), 가장 처진 곳은 엔비디아(+8.7%)다. 격차가 사슬 논리로 설명되면 후자가 다음 전파 후보이고, 설명되지 않으면 그 연결 자체를 다시 봐야 한다. 인텔(1999~)·엔비디아·AMD. AI 기판 병목. (analysis as of 2026-07-10)

## Money in · revenue from (3)
### Intel (high)  → /intel.md
- metric: 점유율 35% · 2024 · FC-BGA 기판 세계 점유율
- note: Intel에 FC-BGA 패키지 기판 공급.
- [confirms] 이비덴 (EN, filing, published 2026-05-05) https://www.ibiden.com/ir/library/statement/: "이비덴 FY2026 매출 4,162억엔(+12.7%)·영업익 620억엔(+30.3%). 전자(FC-BGA) 매출 +23.4%·영업익 +68.5% 견인."
- [confirms] 자본시장뉴스 (KO, news, published 2026-02-01) https://www.jabon.co.kr/news/articleView.html?idxno=926: "엔비디아용 AI 기판 4.7조원 증설."
- [confirms] 이비덴 / EDINET (JA, filing, published 2025-06-20) https://www.ibiden.co.jp/ir/library/securities/: "有報: IC 패키지 기판 매출·고객."
- [confirms] 이비덴 (EN, ir, published 2025-05-01) https://www.ibiden.com/ir/: "IR: IC 패키지 기판 매출."
- [confirms] 디지타임스 (EN, news, published 2025-01-02) https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20250102PD221/ibiden-ic-substrate-demand-market-intel-nvidia.html: "인텔·엔비디아에 FC-BGA 독점적 공급."

### NVIDIA (high)  → /nvidia.md
- note: NVIDIA에 FC-BGA 패키지 기판 공급.
- [confirms] 자본시장뉴스 (KO, news, published 2026-02-01) https://www.jabon.co.kr/news/articleView.html?idxno=926: "엔비디아용 AI 기판 4.7조원 증설."
- [confirms] 이비덴 (EN, ir, published 2025-05-01) https://www.ibiden.com/ir/: "IR: IC 패키지 기판 매출."
- [confirms] 디지타임스 (EN, news, published 2025-01-02) https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20250102PD221/ibiden-ic-substrate-demand-market-intel-nvidia.html: "인텔·엔비디아에 FC-BGA 독점적 공급."

### AMD (mid)  → /amd.md
- note: AMD에 FC-BGA 패키지 기판 공급.
- [confirms] 이비덴 (EN, filing, published 2026-05-05) https://www.ibiden.com/ir/library/statement/: "이비덴 FY2026 매출 4,162억엔(+12.7%)·영업익 620억엔(+30.3%). 전자(FC-BGA) 매출 +23.4%·영업익 +68.5% 견인."
- [confirms] 자본시장뉴스 (KO, news, published 2026-02-01) https://www.jabon.co.kr/news/articleView.html?idxno=926: "엔비디아용 AI 기판 4.7조원 증설."
- [confirms] 이비덴 (EN, ir, published 2025-05-01) https://www.ibiden.com/ir/: "IR: IC 패키지 기판 매출."
- [confirms] 디지타임스 (EN, news, published 2025-01-02) https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20250102PD221/ibiden-ic-substrate-demand-market-intel-nvidia.html: "인텔·엔비디아에 FC-BGA 독점적 공급."

## Money out · pays to (3)
### Ajinomoto (high)  → /ajinomoto.md
- note: 기판 층간 절연막을 아지노모토 ABF에서 조달(사실상 단독).
- [confirms] TradingKey (EN, research, published 2026-01-01) https://www.tradingkey.com/analysis/stocks/us-stocks/261783966-abf-ajinomoto-nvidia-ai-supply-chain-tradingkey: "기판 층간 절연막을 아지노모토 ABF에서 조달(사실상 단독)."

### 빌드업·도금 장비 (비공개) (low)
- note: 기판 빌드업·도금·레이저 장비 투자(비공개).
- [mentions] 이비덴 (EN, ir, published 2025-05-01) https://www.ibiden.com/ir/: "설비투자."

### ABF 필름·동박 (아지노모토 등, 비공개) (low)
- note: 빌드업 절연 ABF 필름(아지노모토)·동박 매입.
- [mentions] 디지타임스 (EN, news, published 2025-01-02) https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20250102PD221/ibiden-ic-substrate-demand-market-intel-nvidia.html: "ABF 소재 의존."

## 질문별 엔드포인트
- 누가 이비덴의 고객인가? 이비덴의 매출은 어디서 오는가? → https://valuechain.wiki/ibiden/customers.md
- 이비덴의 주요 공급사는 어디인가? 이비덴의 비용은 누구에게 가는가? → https://valuechain.wiki/ibiden/suppliers.md
- 이비덴 주가가 움직이면 누가 수혜를 보는가? 이비덴의 가치사슬 파급은 어디까지인가? → https://valuechain.wiki/ibiden/ripple.md
- 증권가가 보는 이비덴: 목표주가와 투자의견은? → https://valuechain.wiki/ibiden/consensus.md

## 이 노드를 다룬 분석 (5)
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- [전파는 실재했고 순서가 있었다: 리레이팅의 시차가 사슬을 그린다](https://valuechain.wiki/analysis/ai-cycle-propagation.md) (2026-06-23)
- [병목은 실리콘에서 패키지로 옮겨갔다: 2026년, 보드가 칩을 앞선 해](https://valuechain.wiki/analysis/substrate-bottleneck.md) (2026-06-23)
- [여러 개의 시계: 하나의 평균이 지우는 정보](https://valuechain.wiki/analysis/many-clocks.md) (2026-06-23)
- [돈의 입구는 하나다: AI 수요는 하이퍼스케일러 capex 한 곳으로 수렴한다](https://valuechain.wiki/analysis/ai-capex-demand-to-supply.md) (2026-06-23)

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_Generated for LLM/agent consumption. Each edge lists stance (confirms/mentions/contradicts), source publisher, language, date, and excerpt for verification._